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Gauge

Once the pitch is on screen, every spoken estimate is anchored and dissent is a social act. Write the questions, share a link, everyone answers privately β€” probabilities and 90% ranges β€” then reveal the whole room's spread at once.

Start typing β€” or load an example.

Sample reveal uses seeded fake responses Β· the URL carries your questions

Why estimate privately first?

Group estimates go wrong in a well-documented way: the first number spoken anchors every number after it (Tversky & Kahneman, Judgment under Uncertainty, 1974), and disagreeing with the room is socially expensive. The crowd is only wise when its guesses are independent (Surowiecki, The Wisdom of Crowds) β€” which is why structured methods like Delphi collect estimates before discussion. Gauge runs that loop live: silent submissions, one simultaneous reveal, the spread itself as the artefact β€” and, when the room splits, a Delphi second round: discuss what the spread shows, silently re-estimate, and see how far the room converged. If everyone's intervals overlap, commit and move on; if the room splits into camps, that's the discussion β€” found before anyone anchored it.

Probability questions are answered on a 0–100% slider with verbal anchors; quantity questions as a 90% interval, so people can be honest about uncertainty instead of faking a point estimate. The reveal shows every interval, the zone everyone believes (or its absence), medians, and camps β€” with one quotable headline per question.

Privacy: your questions never leave the link β€” the server sees only numbers, for 24 hours. The session definition travels in the URL fragment; the relay stores anonymous numbers (plus display names only if you switch names: on) and deletes everything 24 hours after the session's last activity β€” or immediately, when the facilitator ends the session after the reveal.