Small, sharp tools

Single-job utilities for product work under uncertainty โ€” estimation, prioritisation, and the conversations around them. No accounts, no tracking, no build step; your data stays in the URL.

Fermi estimator /fermi

Back-of-the-envelope arithmetic that's honest about what you don't know. Every input is a 90% range; the answer is a P10/P50/P90 distribution โ€” with threshold probability, A/B scenarios, a driver-tree view of what moves the answer, and a read on which input is worth researching first. A cashflow mode prices NPV, IRR, payback and runway the same honest way.

Open โ†’

Rank stability /rank

Weighted prioritisation scores are guesses wearing a suit. This wobbles your weights and scores over thousands of simulations and reports which ranks survive โ€” and which are ties you shouldn't argue about.

Open โ†’

Roadmap as code /roadmap

Write your roadmap as plain text; get a deck-ready now/next/later (or monthly/quarterly) graphic with snapshot-to-snapshot change tracking, SVG/PNG export, and zero box-nudging.

Open โ†’

Decision tree sketcher /tree

Expected-value trees with honest uncertainty: options, chances, and payoffs as 90% ranges, Monte Carlo rollback, the recommended path highlighted โ€” and exactly what would flip the decision.

Open โ†’

Why /why

Your opportunity solution tree and your roadmap as projections of one text file โ€” columns derived from discovery status, with audits for roadmap items that have no why and committed bets nobody has tested.

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Map /map

Assumption maps, stakeholder grids, futures matrices, and risk registers are one physical act: items on two axes, meaning read off named zones. Write the list, drag to place, get the method's verdict.

Open โ†’

Gauge /gauge

Gauge the room before the discussion anchors it. Write estimation questions, share a link, everyone answers privately โ€” probabilities and 90% ranges โ€” then reveal the whole spread at once. Questions never leave the link; the server sees only numbers, for 24 hours.

Open โ†’

Timeline /timeline

A programme timeline that refuses false precision: every milestone is a P50โ€“P90 range drawn as a diamond with an uncertainty whisker. Snapshot before each board pack โ€” the compare renders the slip slide.

Open โ†’

Flow playground /flow

Little's Law made visceral. Sliders for demand, team, WIP limit, and variability drive a living queue โ€” watch cycle time explode as utilisation nears 100%. Then price your batch size on Reinertsen's U-curve, and triage a real backlog: which lever clears the pile fastest.

Open โ†’

In the workshop: a throughput forecaster ("when will it be done", honestly), a dependency-aware sequencer that prices your delivery order in cost of delay, and a calibration trainer. Same rules for all of them: one job, opinionated, no accounts.